| Line 10: | Line 10: | 
|  | This graph shows the data as a ''time series'': |  | This graph shows the data as a ''time series'': | 
|  |  |  |  | 
| − | [[File:Barrie time series.jpg|border|700 px]] | + | [[File:Barrie time series.jpg|border|600 px]] | 
|  |  |  |  | 
|  | The number of times each depth of storm occured can be counted and grouped like this: |  | The number of times each depth of storm occured can be counted and grouped like this: | 
|  |  |  |  | 
| − | [[File:Picture1.jpg|border|700 px]] | + | [[File:Picture1.jpg|border|600 px]] | 
|  |  |  |  | 
| − | These same data can be fitted to a single equation which would then allow predictions to be made. In this example an exponential distribution function has been selected and an [https://www.wessa.net/rwasp_fitdistrexp.wasp online tool] used to find the fitting parameter 'λ'. | + | These same data can be fitted to a single equation which would then allow predictions to be made. In this example an exponential distribution function has been selected and an [https://www.wessa.net/rwasp_fitdistrexp.wasp online tool] used to find the fitting parameter 'λ'.   | 
|  |  |  |  | 
|  | <math>f\left(x,\lambda\right)=\lambda e^{-\lambda x}</math> |  | <math>f\left(x,\lambda\right)=\lambda e^{-\lambda x}</math> | 
|  | + |  | 
|  | + | The fitting found λ to be 0.11. When the equation is plotted, the graph looks like this: | 
|  | + |  | 
|  | + | [[File:Barrie prob.jpg|border|600 px]] | 
|  | + |  | 
|  | + | But the patterns aren't very easy to understand like this. The cumulative distribution function uses the same λ and is often a more useful way to understand the data.  | 
|  | + | <math>F\left(x,\lambda\right)=1- e^{-\lambda x}</math> | 
|  | + |  | 
|  | + | Plotted, it looks like this: |